| Human activities lead to climate change |
The climate is changing. Because we are burning fossil fuels (releasing
CO2), are cutting forests, and otherwise are releasing gases such
as CO2 and CH4 the compensation of the earth atmosphere is changing
in a subtle way. Gases like CO2 and CH4 are called greenhouse gases,
because they act similar as a greenhouse - they let light in, which
heats up the earth, but prevent infra-red radiation from escaping.
In other words, these gases trap heat. And we may be happy that the
greenhouse gases trap heat, because otherwise the Earth would be too
cool for life.
However, human activities have resulted in a
steady increase in greenhouse gas concentration (for example, in
1750 the CO2 concentration was 275 part per million (ppm), and in
2000 the CO2 concentration was 370 ppm), and this raised the possibility
that the earth would be heating up, and more than we would like.
Scientific studies confirmed that this was happening, and indeed,
that the climate was changing. The ways in which the climate changes
are diverse - in some places the Earth gets colder, in other places
it gets hotter, in some places wetter, in some places dryer, sometimes
more variable, sometimes less variable. More predictable and less
predictable. More or less extreme weather incidents. On average,
the Earth is heating up: Since the end 1800s, the Earth average
temperature increased by 0.6ˇăC, and in the coming 100 years a further
increase of between 1.4 to 5.8 ˇăC is expected.
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| The UNFCCC |
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Weighing all the scientific evidence and after assessing the likely
impacts of climate change, most of the nations decided to take actions
and decided in 1992 to adopt the United Nations Framework Convention
on Climate Change (UNFCCC).
The UNFCCC is important for various reasons:
- It expresses the long-term goal of stabilizing the greenhouse
gas concentrations at a level that prevents dangerous human-induced
changes in the climate system.
- It established a framework for further discussions and decisionmaking
on the basis of new evidence. Related to this, the UNFCCC encourages
scientific research on climate change - forecasts, how to mitigate
climate change, and how to adapt to it.
- The UNFCCC also encourages actions that reduce the emission
of greenhouse gases, without making emission reductions binding.
- The UNFCCC recognizes that those countries most responsible
for climate change are the ones that might be least affected by
it, and that these countries with highest responsibility are the
best able to take actions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
Therefore, the UNFCCC recognizes the category Annex I countries
(OECD countries and some of the former communist countries in
Europe), and creates special obligations for them.
- It created an infrastructure for dealing with climate change
- the secretariat of the UNFCC. One of the activities of the secretariat
is maintaining a website: www.unfccc.int.
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One thing the UNFCCC did not do - it did not specify binding emission
reduction or limitation targets, just a soft target of returning,
at the end of the decade, to earlier levels of greenhouse gas emissions.
Binding obligations to reduce greenhouse gas emissions were only
agreed during the third Conference of Parties in Kyoto, Japan: The
Kyoto Protocol.
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| The Kyoto Protocol |
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The Kyoto
Protocol was adopted in December 1997 and includes binding emission
reduction or
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| limitation targets for the countries
(parties) included in Annex B of the Kyoto Protocol, a total of 38
countries, provided that they are only binding on those parties that
ratified the Kyoto Protocol (Australia and the USA are the only countries
in Annex B of the Kyoto Protocol that did not ratify the Kyoto Protocol).
The emission reduction and limitation targets are listed in the right
hand table (relative to base year emissions, typically 1990). |
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| Greenhouse Gases |
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The Kyoto Protocol obliges countries that historically have had
high emissions of greenhouse gases and that have a relatively high
income (the so-called Annex I countries) to reduce emissions of
6 greenhouse gases:
- CO2 (carbondioxide - produced by the burning of fossil fuel
and the cutting of forest, removed by growing forests)
- CH4 (methane - produced by anaerobic decomposition of organic
wastes, by coal mining, and released by for example oil drilling)
- N2O (Nitrous oxide - for example, from the application of fertilizers)
- HFCs (Hydrofluorocarbons - this is a category of industrial
gases used to replace CFCs, which the Montreal Protocol requires
to be phased out)
- PFCs (Perfluorocarbons - this is a category of industrial gases
used to replace CFCs)
- SF6 (Sulphur hexa fluoride - another industrial gas)
Each of these gases has a different impact on
climate change. However, each can be 'converted' to a common unit,
tons CO2 equivalent. Thus, 1 ton of CH4 is equivalent to 21 tons
of CO2, 1 ton of N2O is equivalent to 310 tons of CO2, 1 ton of
SF6 is equal to 3200 tons of CO2, 1 ton of HFCs ranges from 140
to 11700 tons of CO2, depending on the compound, and 1 ton PFCs
is equivalent to 6500-9200 tons of CO2.
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| Kyoto and CDM |
| Complying with the Kyoto Protocol is going to
be costly for the Annex I countries. To reduce costs, the Kyoto Protocol
offers various "flexible mechanisms", also known as the
"Kyoto mechanisms". CDM is one of these flexible mechanisms.
It offers an Annex I country (the investor country) the opportunity
to buy Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emission reductions generated in projects
in a non-Annex I country (the host country - for example China, Mongolia,
Vietnam, Thailand, or any other developing country). These CDM projects
should result in a reduction in GHG
emissions in the host country, which can be used by the investor country
to fulfill its obligations under the Kyoto Protocol. More and more
developing countries benefit from CDM.
The GHG emission reductions from projects in
countries like China - countries that ratified the Kyoto Protocol
but do not have a binding obligation to reduce Greenhouse Gas (GHG)
emissions - can be sold to countries with obligations to reduce
GHG emissions. There are now many Buyers of GHG emission reductions,
including governments, companies and multilateral funds.
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| Procedures of CDM |
| The procedures of CDM projects are a bit complicated.
If you do a CDM project, you need to proof that real emission reductions
are generated that would not occur without the project (additionality),
you need to establish the emissions that would have occurred in absence
of the project (the baseline), and you must establish a plan that
describes how you are going to measure and verify the actual emissions
and emission reductions (the monitoring and verification plan).
The following steps are key. The order in which
they are taken may differ.
- Writing of Project Design Document (PDD). The first step is
the writing of the Project Design Document. The PDD should follow
an internationally agreed format, which can be downloaded from
http://cdm.unfccc.int.
It should use already existing approved baseline and monitoring
methodologies, or it should develop new methodologies that subsequently
would need to be approved by the Executive Board for CDM of the
UNFCCC. For more information on methodologies, see http://cdm.unfccc.int/methodologies.
- Obtain host government approval. CDM requires that the host
country's government approve the project. For projects in China,
this means that the Chinese government should approve the project.
- Negotiate and Emission Reduction Purchase Agreement (ERPA).
At some point, the project owner should get some payments for
the greenhouse gas emission reductions. The project owner will
need to identify buyers, and negotiate with the buyer(s) a purchase
agreement for the emission reductions.
- Validate the PDD. The internationally agreed rules of CDM require
that an independent validator, a kind of carbon-auditor, check
the Project Design Document.
- Register the project with the UNFCCC. After success validation,
the project can be registered with the UNFCCC as a CDM project.
- Implement the project and generate emission reductions. After
the successful registration, the project implementation can continue,
and the project will generate emission reductions.
- Verify emission reductions. An independent organization, the
verifier, will verify that the emission reductions that are claimed
have indeed been generated. The verifier will check that the monitoring
of the emission reductions follows the 'monitoring and verification
plan' in the Project Design Document.
- Certification of emission reductions (CERs). After the verification,
emission reductions can be certified. The result, certified emission
reductions or CERs, are the product that is delivered through
CDM.
- The project owner delivers the CERs to buyer(s).
- The buyer(s) pay(s) for the CERs.
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